2020 USA Presidential Elections

Discussion in 'Current Affairs & Debate' started by ameraal, Apr 18, 2020.

?

Four more years?

  1. I think Donald Trump will win

    46.4%
  2. I think Joe Biden will win

    37.5%
  3. ---

    1.8%
  4. I would vote for Trump

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. I would vote for Biden

    75.0%
  6. I would vote for a third party candidate

    3.6%
  7. I would abstain

    5.4%
  8. ---

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. I hope Trump wins

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. I hope Biden wins

    71.4%
  11. ---

    1.8%
  12. I predict somebody other than Biden will be the Democratic Candidate

    5.4%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    If things are going as expected, not only the next week but the rest of the year is going to be horrible.
     
  2. SDF

    SDF We're all Angles in Chainz

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    oh THAT I’m sure about :(
     
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  3. Jark

    Jark no gem too sultry

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    I mean, didn't the most cited models/pollsters at this point in 2016 offer like 71-85% chances of Hillary winning? I don't think it means anything. I'm sure there is a 96% (or better) chance of Biden winning the popular vote, but the insane way that the system works in America renders that meaningless.

    Not to piss on anyone's chips but I don't see how they can offer 96% chance (almost certainty) of Biden winning the electoral college. Florida is very much a toss-up right now, probably leaning Republican, and although Biden can win without it (and Trump can't) if it does go to Trump I'd imagine most or all of the other swing states will too. I think we have to prepare for a much tighter race than we're currently anticipating.

    I'm actually starting to get quite nervous about a Trump win, after weeks of cockiness. Four more years won't just be bad for America - the world CAN'T HANDLE THAT. We need the US back in the Paris Climate Accord immediately for one thing.
     
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  4. ZenGiraffe

    ZenGiraffe Anum Rapax

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    I haven't read the article, but do you know if this was a model of a fair election? Because that could end up being the key to the next few weeks.
     
  5. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    Still VERY worried of a Trump win. Putting all my hope in the mid west. If Biden can secure Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, it should be a much much easier route to winning the election.
     
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  6. Soldi

    Soldi Candide Crush

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    Biden can literally win Florida or Pennsylvania and lose pretty much all the other swing states and still win.

    I was also watching some news feature the other day where it was mentioned that they could start counting early voting/postal ballots from Tuesday morning in Florida, which could mean we could potentially get a result there at 1am.
     
  7. Jark

    Jark no gem too sultry

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    but winning Florida is not exactly a given hun! Pennsylvania seems to be leaning Dem at the minute, he should take Nevada and I reckon Georgia and NC could be in play too. I don't see him taking Florida personally (it will be close either way) and I think Texas is a couple of election cycles away from flipping blue.
     
  8. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    Florida is one of them early counters.
     
  9. Jark

    Jark no gem too sultry

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    the right-hand columns are interesting here, from NY Times

    [​IMG]
     
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  10. SDF

    SDF We're all Angles in Chainz

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    But Pennsylvania don’t start processing votes until Election Day, and then don’t count them until they’ve been processed, so if it all rests on that then it might be a while before we know?
     
  11. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    NC and Georgia are as much of a toss-up as Florida. At least in the mid west Trump only barely one last time. COME ON PENNSYLVANIA don’t let us down.
     
  12. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    Still think he can win; this whole counting of postal votes issue is just another factor that has to be considered.
     
  13. Soldi

    Soldi Candide Crush

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    I’d say at this point it’s still a lot harder for Trump. He’s pretty much got all the swing states Hillary won locked down (Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Virginia, Minnesota, New Hampshire). Then you look at Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania that he looks likely to take, all of which would easily tip him over 270.

    Then factor in the nationwide polls, where he’s been leading as high as 10 points. There’s no way he’d win the nationwide vote by such a margin yet still lose the electoral college.
     
  14. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    I always look this Neb 2/Maine 2 thing up, but forget what it means after the elections. Why are these states always presented like this?
     
  15. ZenGiraffe

    ZenGiraffe Anum Rapax

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  16. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    Maine and Nebraska award a number of votes to the state’s over all winner but also votes per district won.
     
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  17. POP!

    POP! Fade away, radiate

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    I’ll do my best for Michigan :weed:
     
  18. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    Right, thanks!

    Imagine of more states did that
     
  19. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    My guess is that the end result would resemble more the popular vote.
     
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  20. funky

    funky INCAPABLE

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    I guess it's a state by state decision but their voting power (ie very little given the number of college points they have) gives them more flexibility to do what they want.

    California is never going to risk giving about 20% of its 55 points to the Republicans, and imagine if Texas did it. The Republicans would never win another election (one can hope)
     
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  21. Suomi

    Suomi User

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    This is so good! Although I will say that I am aware and not happy about a similar video of me produced by Soldi around the time of the last Moopy Mod elections
     
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  22. funky

    funky INCAPABLE

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    how do you import tweets to moopy?
     
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  23. Gangsta Nancy Lam

    Gangsta Nancy Lam mess

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    Copy and paste the link.

    If you're on the app on your phone the option to 'copy link to tweet' is available under the 'share tweet' button on the right beneath a tweet.
     
  24. Jark

    Jark no gem too sultry

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    that ad is everything! who knew Americans were capable of such (relative) comic subtlty?
     
  25. funky

    funky INCAPABLE

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    thanks @Gangsta Nancy Lam. I liked this tweet. Stupid is as stupid does etc. The rally goers all deserve each other, and each other's germs too.

     
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  26. Diddy

    Diddy Rice Queen

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    why would you abbreviate Florida to Fla?
     
  27. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    Flazéda
     
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  28. KindaCool

    KindaCool Kick Rocks. Eat dirt.

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    The first Anti-Trump Karen?

    "26 accusations of sexual assault. TWENTY SIX?" *sanitizes hands* :D
     
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  29. dUb

    dUb IFFY

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    another great ad

     
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  30. Kate

    Kate SLAGS 4 TAGS

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    loony left
  31. Jark

    Jark no gem too sultry

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    is that an official campaign ad or third party? :D "phony Kamala" - the copywriter must've been working FOR FREE
     
  32. Gangsta Nancy Lam

    Gangsta Nancy Lam mess

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    Think of all the exposure they've got from it though :disco:
     
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  33. RaspberrySwirl

    RaspberrySwirl Leftover

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    OutSynk likes this.
  34. VoR

    VoR #Justice4JLo

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    Love this narrative



     
  35. Win_the_game

    Win_the_game User

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    IT'S NOT JUST THAT YOU'RE A CROOK SENATOR...

    What a takedown. :disco:
     
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  36. KindaCool

    KindaCool Kick Rocks. Eat dirt.

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    MoopyPAC thread NOW
     
  37. ZenGiraffe

    ZenGiraffe Anum Rapax

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    Well this is terrifying.
     
  38. dUb

    dUb IFFY

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    Am shitting myself tbh
     
  39. Dark Carnival

    Dark Carnival User

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    But I thought the Supreme Court court has already ruled on that matter?
     
  40. Loufoque

    Loufoque BATTLE FOR YOUR LIFE

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    Why you girls making out this is like Spiller vs. VB when it's much more Kylie vs. VB
     
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