Discussion in 'Coronavirus' started by Ag, Jan 24, 2020.
Still, once on the walk we saw 1 dog walker. Otherwise no one. Far better than along the seafront.
There's "concern" that the Brazilian strain can "get around" both the vaccine and immunity built up from the other strains - and it's already in the UK. That's a bit depressing. The vaccine can be altered to match it but then presumably they would need to start the rollout all over again?!
Oh god don't
In other news, they've decided now would be an excellent time to refurb the Belgian plant that is supplying the Pfizer vaccination and therefore we will be receiving a lot less of those over the next weeks which slow down the rollout to some extent.
In better news, the over 70s will start being invited for vaccinations from next week!
Ok im putting Iguana on ignore. That first post alone was already depressing enough.
My poor struggling island, finally catching up with the rest of the UK, again.
down to 879 cases the last 28 hours
OPEN CINEMAS NOW!
@Dark Carnival girl, I got my certificate finally. I was shaking and crying during my first gym session.
Apparently the Brazilian variant found in the UK wasn’t the one causing concern.
omg I was literally DMing you with the name of the queen giving out certificates!
Anyway, so happy for you beb! I might finally say fuck it and get one myself.
Here she is. I swear I've seen her around COX
Who measures cases over 28 hours?!
Thanks hun. I engaged every girl I know to make it happen. I lost two kg since I was last in the gym. A bitch needs to EAT now.
How on earth do you get a certificate to work out at the gym?!
and why is this not a UK thing
I mean, not good for Brazil, but y'know
How does it work? Do you need to go to a specific gym now? My friend had to get a new subscription in an open gym, and apparently it's always BONDÉ.
It's a special form that says that a queen's buss is no longer permanently torn because she no longer has that gym bawdy
My normal gym is open, so I just go there. And girl, it was full af. With all the usual suspects. But if not I think you just go to an open one in your gym's network.
Here are some Canadian anti maskers getting arrested today
"I do not consent!"
To what? Being arrested? People rarely do love but that’s the POINT
Sigh, the world's gone mad
We had one of those protests at the very beginning of masks being imposed. There were a couple hundred people at most, they got dispersed and we never heard of them again thankfully.
Anti-vaxers on the other hand...
what kind of batshit crazy daylight saving hours do you have in your country?
We’ve had them non stop every weekend. The leaders are this anti vaxer white lady and some roided muscle queen. It’s only this week with the stay home order that they got arrested.
A 28 hour day? Fuck's sake, don;t give the Tories that idea - we'll have a 12 hour working day before we know it.
Every single one of these anti maskers should be made to volunteer for a day in a Covid hospital ward without PPE.
Yes. And put more strain on the health services when they inevitably catch Covid, which they’d also spread.
FFS ELLIE, DON’T BE SO FUCKING SHORT SIGHTED AND FOR ONCE THINK OF THE BIGGER PICTURE.
Just shoot them instead.
Send 'em to the place with more cases then anywhere else per 100,000 in the world.
Yes, i'm talking about the Isle of Wight again.
(I have no idea if that stat is true but imagine if it was)
So death or purgatory?
i know I’m a bit late to comment but R is measuring how easily it’s spreading. If it’s more than 1 then the number of cases each day will grow. Think of it as the acceleration of the disease. It’s only going to start slowing down once it’s under 1.
the R value itself is more important than the change in R value
I mean, the other thing about R is that we don't *exactly* know how it's calculated, but it's likely using actual statistical data and then with a heavy dose of judgement on top. The statistical data is always going to be out of date because nobody knows exactly what the number cases is today, especially given the incubation period of it.
I do plenty of stats-plus-judgement work in my own job, and i strongly suspect the scientists are doing their best but they'd be the first to admit they really don't know for sure.
yeah, I mean looking at the government’s R numbers it has London as 0.9-1.2. So that’s fairly inconclusive, but not useless, I mean you can compare it to other regions at least.
It's not useless, but even the parameters of 0.9-1.2 are likely to be highly estimated. They're predicting based on extremely partial data.
The other thing is that R is, I believe, that it is calculated on the presumed cases in the population, rather than positive tests, so it fluctuated much more dramatically at the start before testing got better and captured a greater proportion of those who are positive.
I'm extremely sure R is calculated on positive tests rather than presumed cases - at least over here. if it was presumed cases the error margin would be enough to send any scientist into a fit.
My Auntie Janice (#3 in my Auntie Top 5) is in hospital with COVID. Her husband is at home with symptoms awaiting the result of a test.