Yes I had a feeling that all the scary bit numbers in the 50k region might be a bit of a peak within a peak related to the Euros.
The numbers are coming down quite a lot though. Apparently 92% of UK adults now have antibodies according to the latest study. Have we finally crossed the herd immunity line…?
This is what I like to believe, but everyone I know higher up in the pecking order of expertise/obsessiveness says "no" and that herd immunity may not even be possible (but that the vaccines do the job of keeping 91% out of hospital, etc etc. Tories: "oh well, try not to be vulnerable, we don't like vulnerable people anyway")
And I'm thinking, well if this is the case and like they say it's with us for good... what do we do in say, September, when the snot flingers return to school and the wave of viruses always happens? Maybe we've done what we can with vaccines and need to start pouring billions into treatments and research into long covid next?
Anyway the current thinking with the drop is a combination of many factors. Increased immunity yes, plus schools broken up, Euros over, people behaving better than expected, "pingdemic" causing like a shadow lockdown, nice weather keeping everyone outdoors, etc. Apparently we should see any effects of "Freedom Day" from about Friday.
(Just in case you're starting to feel hopeful, doomers are busy prepping stories about climate-related civilisation collapse by 2040...)